The fresh baseline model try calibrated in order to a great 2019 Public Bookkeeping Matrix (SAM) of Egypt. The latest 2019 SAM are produced according to a 2011 SAM playing with a development basis equal to the new proportion between your Egyptian GDP from the 2 yrs. I opposed the newest generated SAM towards construction out of Egypt’s savings in accordance with the current data internationally Lender Databases; no high distinctions have been based in the economy’s framework. Second Fig. 11 suggests which testing.
Nile River system–Egypt’s economic combination
The Eastern Nile River system model and the CGE model of Egypt run dynamically over a 30-year simulation period (2020–2049) and multiple scenarios. For each 30-year simulation, the CGE model executes 30 annual time steps, and the river system model executes 360 monthly time steps (30 years ? 12 months). The horny Heterosexual dating dating CGE and river system models are integrated through the water and electricity sectors, as described earlier. The convergence test is performed using the GDP at market prices with an assumed convergence threshold of US$ 5 million. A maximum of 50 iterations is specified for each annual time step. All simulated time steps converged in <50 iterations.
The details that keep the conclusions of this analysis appear from the related blogger on realistic demand during the Zenodo: The relevant publisher could make the brand new economy-associated studies readily available on reasonable request. The fresh new East Nile River system model and its particular investigation commonly in public readily available due to state limits and you may incorporate guidance that will sacrifice search participant privacy/agree.
The brand new Pywr and you will Pynsim software libraries used to build brand new included economy-broad and you can lake system model was unlock-provider and you will free throughout the after the repositories: The quality CGE make of IFPRI are freely available from following the link:
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